Blood Bowl Odds

All rookies are regularly told to play their turn starting from the safest actions to the riskiest ones. Blood Bowl can be approached by playing only the probabilities and an experienced coach can become relatively good by restricting himself to the safest actions. But in reality, there are usually many more important tactical and strategic considerations than this logical sequence. However, for the purposes of this exercise, here is a table summarizing the failure percentages of a majority of actions.

SIMPLIFIED FRACTIONFAILURE PERCENTAGE
INFAILLIBLE
You will not fail …
3 dice with Block and a Reroll1/50 0000,002 %
AS SAFE AS POSSIBLE
We remember it for a long time when it fails
2 dice with Block and a Reroll1/13000,08 %
3 dice without Block, and a Reroll1/10000,1 %
3 dice with Block1/2000,5 %
SOLID
Still, these actions are regularly failed
2 dice without Block, with Reroll1/801,3 %
3 dice with Brawler1/602 %
2 + with Reroll ••• 2 dice with Block1/333 %
3 dice without Block1/254 %
2+ / 2+ with Pass and Catch1/205 %
2 dice with Brawler1/186 %
2+ / 2+ with Reroll1/137 %
REASONABLE
Cautiously expect a failure but keep an adequate reserve to consolidate a success
2 dice against with Block and a Reroll1/1010 %
3+ with a Reroll ••• 2 dice without Block1/911 %
2+ / 2+ / 2+ with Reroll1/713 %
2+ ••• 1 die with Block1/617 %
2+ / 2+ with Pass1/519 %
2+ / 2+ with Pass, Catch and 6+ interference •••  1 die with Brawler1/521 %
6+ Foul with Sneaky Git1/522 %
HAZARDOUS
Expect a failure but keep a minimal reserve to consolidate a success
4+ with Reroll1/425 %
6+ Foul1/429 %
2 dice against with Block ••• 2+ / 2+1/331 %
2+ / 2+ with Pass and 6+ interception1/332 %
3+ ••• 1 die without Block1/333 %
2+ / 2+ / 2+ / 2+ with Reroll1/335 %
SH*TTY
Look for a better way to do it though it could be your only avenue if you’re in a tight spot
2+ / 2+ / 2+2/542 %
5+ with Reroll1/244 %
4+1/250 %
2 dice against without Block1/256 %
DON’T
Brave or unconscious, there are last resort actions
5+2/367 %
6+ with Reroll2/369 %
6+5/683 %

Further reading

• Blood Bowl Fouling Odds
Blood Bowl Armors & Injuries Odds
Blood Bowl Teams Strength

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