Blood Bowl Odds
All rookies are regularly told to play their turn starting from the safest actions to the riskiest ones. Blood Bowl can be approached by playing only the probabilities and an experienced coach can become relatively good by restricting himself to the safest actions. But in reality, there are usually many more important tactical and strategic considerations than this logical sequence. However, for the purposes of this exercise, here is a table summarizing the failure percentages of a majority of actions.
FAILURE PERCENTAGE | SIMPLIFIED FRACTION | |
Infallible: you will not fail … | ||
3 dice with Block and a Reroll | 0,002 % | 1/50 000 |
As safe as possible: rarely failed, but we remember it for a long time when it happens! | ||
2 dice with Block and a Reroll | 0,08 % | 1/1300 |
3 dice without Block, and a Reroll | 0,1 % | 1/1000 |
3 dice with Block | 0,5 % | 1/200 |
Solid: but still regularly failed during a game. | ||
2 dice without Block, with Reroll | 1 % | 1/100 |
3 dice with Brawler | 2 % | 1/60 |
2 + with Reroll ••• 2 dice with Block | 3 % | 1/33 |
3 dice without Block | 4 % | 1/25 |
2+ / 2+ with Pass and Catch | 5 % | 1/20 |
2 dice with Brawler | 6 % | 1/18 |
2+ / 2+ with Reroll | 7 % | 1/13 |
Reasonable: cautiously expect a failure but keep the bulk of your players to consolidate a success. | ||
2 dice against with Block and a Reroll | 10 % | 1/10 |
3+ with a Reroll ••• 2 dice without Block | 11 % | 1/9 |
2+ / 2+ / 2+ with Reroll | 13 % | 1/7 |
2+ ••• 1 die with Block | 17 % | 1/6 |
2+ / 2+ with Pass | 19 % | 1/5 |
2+ / 2+ with Pass, Catch and 6+ interference ••• 1 die with Brawler | 21 % | 1/5 |
Hazardous: seriously expect a failure but keep a mobile reserve to consolidate a success. | ||
4+ with Reroll | 25 % | 1/4 |
2 dice against with Block ••• 2+ / 2+ | 31 % | 1/3 |
2+ / 2+ with Pass and 6+ interception | 32 % | 1/3 |
3+ ••• 1 die without Block | 33 % | 1/3 |
2+ / 2+ / 2+ / 2+ with Reroll | 35 % | 1/3 |
Shitty: look for a better way to do it though it could be your only avenue if you’re in a really tight spot! | ||
2+ / 2+ / 2+ | 42 % | 2/5 |
5+ with Reroll | 44 % | 1/2 |
4+ | 50 % | 1/2 |
2 dice against without Block | 56 % | 1/2 |
Do not attempt: brave or unconscious, these are absolute last resort actions. | ||
5+ | 67 % | 2/3 |
6+ with Reroll | 69 % | 2/3 |
6+ | 83 % | 5/6 |